Att haven minskat sin ökningshastighet och nästan ligger stilla sedan 2006 och temperaturen inte heller följer dataprogrammen, struntar alla i, ingeiørsfirman vill såklart bara utföra sitt uppdrag och tjäna pengar...
Vad om det i stället blir kallare?
Den klimatändringen har alltid inneburit lidande för människor, djur och natur.
Hej Gunnar
Her har du nogle "kolde" facts til nuancering:
The following video animations derived from the GISTEMP dataset are available:
5 års midling:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gist....mp4
Fra:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gist...ons/
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gist...emp/
26.03.08 Varmere vintre i Rusland og Canada:
http://jp.dk/nyviden/article13....ece
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Dec. 17, 2007 Without Its Insulating Ice Cap, Arctic Surface Waters Warm To As Much As 5 C Above Average
http://www.sciencedaily.com/re....htm
Citat: "... "Warming is particularly pronounced since 1995, and especially since 2000," the authors write..."
26. okt 2007 Forskere: Vi aner ikke, hvordan klimaet vil arte sig:
http://ing.dk/artikel/82707
Citat: "...
Trods klimamodeller og langhårede teorier så kommer vi ikke tættere et konkret svar, fordi naturens feedback-mekanismer [incl. 'Tipping Points'] er alt for uforudsigelige, lyder konklusionen fra Gerard Roe og Marcia Baker fra University of Washington i Seattle ifølge Newscientist.
..."
May 31, 2007 Earth's Climate Approaching 'Tipping Point', According To NASA:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/re....htm
28 August 2008 Arctic ice 'is at tipping point':
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci....stm
4 February 2008, Climate set for 'sudden shifts':
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci....stm
Citat: "...
The researchers have listed and ranked nine ecological systems that they say could be lost this century as a result of global warming. The nine tipping elements and the time it will take them to undergo a major transition are:
* Melting of Arctic sea-ice (about 10 years)
* Decay of the Greenland ice sheet (about 300 years)
* Collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet (about 300 years)
* Collapse of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation (about 100 years)
* Increase in the El Nino Southern Oscillation (about 100 years)
* Collapse of the Indian summer monsoon (about 1 year)
* Greening of the Sahara/Sahel and disruption of the West African monsoon (about 10 years)
* Dieback of the Amazon rainforest (about 50 years)
* Dieback of the Boreal Forest (about 50 years)
..."
Mar. 5, 2008 Warming Climate May Cause Arctic Tundra To Burn:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/re....htm
Metan er en kraftigere drivhusgas end CO2:
4. dec 2008 Polarforskere: Tundraens metanudslip er dobbelt så stort som vi troede:
http://ing.dk/artikel/93989
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Sep. 9, 2005 Methane Gyrations Last 2,000 Years Show Human Influence On Atmosphere:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/re....htm
Citat: "...
"The results frankly were a shock," said White. "We can see human fingerprints all over atmospheric methane emissions for at least the last 2,000 years. Humans have been an integral part of Earth's carbon cycle for much longer than we thought."
...
Overall methane levels in the atmosphere increased about 2 percent from about 1 A.D. to 1000 and decreased by 2 percent from 1000 to 1700, according to the study. Since the 1700s, the levels have increased by nearly 300 percent, said White.
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"There has been a[ ]naïve idea out there that humans were just passive, pastoral passengers on the planet up until just a few hundred years ago," he said. "We have shown that is not the case."
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27 February 2006, Europe's chill linked to disease
Europe's "Little Ice Age" may have been triggered by the 14th Century Black Death plague, according to a new study.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci....stm
"... Pollen and leaf data support the idea that millions of trees sprang up on abandoned farmland, soaking up carbon dioxide from the atmosphere... increase in cereal pollen from 1200 onwards (reflecting agricultural expansion), followed by a sudden dive around 1347, linked to the agricultural crisis caused by the arrival of the Black Death... "It appears that the human impact on the environment started much earlier than the industrial revolution," said Dr van Hoof..."
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09.08.07 Global opvarmning tager fart efter 2009:
http://jp.dk/nyviden/article10....ece
21. maj 2008 Den globale temperatur stagnerer – den globale opvarmning fortsætter:
http://ing.dk/artikel/88230
Citat: "...
Forudsigelsen er, at der kommer et ganske markant fald i SAT [Surface Air Temperature] på høje nordlige breddegrader, altså helt modsat det, som man umiddelbart skulle forvente
...
Den skjulte varme
Der er også blevet gennemført simuleringer med begge typer simuleringer som rækker længere frem. Og her viser det sig, at den sidste type simulering giver en kraftig temperaturstigning hen mod 2020, og omkring 2025 er de to typer prognoser/simuleringer lige varme.
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8. apr 2008 Nasa: Verden regner forkert - temperaturen stiger seks grader:
http://ing.dk/artikel/87000
Citat: "...
Derfor foreslår han, at klimamålsætningen fremover hedder 350 ppm, men alle undersøgelser tyder på, at CO2-koncentrationen stiger hurtigere end nogensinde tidligere.
..."
25. mar 2008 Koldere verdenshave forvirrer klimaforskere:
http://ing.dk/artikel/86610
Citat: "...
Men vandstandsstigningen skyldes altså ikke, at havene er blevet varmere. Derfor må den nuværende stigning tilskrives smeltende gletsjere i Grønland og Antarktis, mener Josh Willis.
»Det er faktisk lidt af et mysterium. Vi kan ikke gøre rede for al den vandstandsstigning, som vi har set i løbet af de sidste fire år,« siger Josh Willis.
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Apr. 23, 2008 Antarctic Deep Sea Gets Colder:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/re....htm
18.05.08 Global opvarmning holder pause:
http://jp.dk/indland/trafik/kl....ece
Citat: "...
Afkølingen er kun midlertidig, indtil strømforholdene igen ændrer sig. Så vil temperaturen formentlig stige med ekstra styrke.
..."
Så længe der er hældes isterninger i drinken [havvandet om polerne] er den ca. 0 grader celsius:
25.02.08 Antarktis-gletsjere strømmer ud i havene:
http://jp.dk/nyviden/article12....ece
18 June 2008 Arctic sea ice melt 'even faster':
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci....stm
24 March 2006 Glacial earthquakes rock Greenland ice sheet:
http://www.newscientist.com/ar...8889
Citat: "...
When the team analysed glacial seismic records back to 1993, they found a striking increase in the number of quakes recorded in recent years. All 136 of the best-documented slips were traced to glaciated valleys draining the main Greenland ice sheet. A handful of others occurred in Alaskan glaciers or on Antarctica.
Ekström reports that quakes ranged from six to 15 per year from 1993 to 2002, then jumped to 20 in 2003, 23 in 2004, and 32 in the first 10 months of 2005 - matching an increase in Greenland temperatures.
..."
Glacial earthquakes in Greenland
http://blogs.physicstoday.org/...html
Fra GeologiskNyt nr. 6, 2005 Glaciale Jordskælv
- når isen rykker:
http://www.geus.dk/publication....htm
Citat: "... Et kendetegn ved de glaciale jordskælv er fraværet af P-bølgen, hvilket formodentlig er den væsentligste årsag til, at de ikke er blevet opdaget tidligere..."
Jan. 8, 2009 Cause Of Glacial Earthquakes In Greenland Clarified:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/re....htm
http://www.geology.ohio-state....d=41
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Nogle gode nyheder:
May 8, 2008 Ponds Found To Take Up Carbon Like World's Oceans
http://www.sciencedaily.com/re....htm
Citat: "... Professor Downing found that constructed ponds and lakes on farmland in the United States bury carbon at a much higher rate than expected; as much as 20-50 times the rate at which trees trap carbon. In addition, ponds were found to take up carbon at a higher rate than larger lakes.
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"Aquatic ecosystems play a disproportionately large role in the global carbon budget," Downing said.
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The combined effect is that farm ponds could be burying as much carbon as the world's oceans, each year.
...
It may be that ponds will be the modern equivalent of the swamps that formed coal in the past. But before we all rush into making ponds to trap carbon we need to do some basic research here in the UK
..."
Apr. 23, 2008 Increasing Levels Of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Cause A Rise In Ocean Plankton Calcification:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/re....htm
Citat: "...
Previously, the fact that carbon dioxide made the oceans more acidic was thought to be harmful to all organisms that produce calcium carbonate - for example, corals and coccolithophores (a group of calcium carbonate-producing phytoplankton). However, observations in the laboratory and the deep ocean have shown that the calcification of coccolithophores increases significantly with rising carbon dioxide (CO2) levels, produced by human activity.
..."
http://da.wikipedia.org/wiki/G...tese
Massiv Gaia-effekt her?:
Nov. 2, 2007 Cirrus Disappearance: Warming Might Thin Heat-trapping Clouds:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/re....htm
Citat: "...
The widely accepted (albeit unproven) theory that manmade global warming will accelerate itself by creating more heat-trapping clouds is challenged this month in new research from The University of Alabama in Huntsville
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What we found in month-to-month fluctuations of the tropical climate system was a strongly negative feedback. As the tropical atmosphere warms, cirrus clouds decrease
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"The role of clouds in global warming is widely agreed to be pretty uncertain," Spencer said
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"Fifteen years ago, when we first started monitoring global temperatures with satellites, we noticed these big temperature fluctuations in the tropics," Spencer said. "What amounts to a decade of global warming routinely occurs in just a few weeks in the tropical atmosphere. Then, as if by flipping a switch, the rapid warming is replaced by strong cooling. It now looks like the change in cirrus cloud coverage is the major reason for this switch from warming to cooling."
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This unexpected behavior was traced to the decrease in cirrus cloud cover.
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There are significant gaps in the scientific understanding of precipitation systems and their interactions with the climate, he said. "At least 80 percent of the Earth's natural greenhouse effect is due to water vapor and clouds, and those are largely under the control of precipitation systems
..."